Supreme Novices Hurdle Tips and Betting

Selection Bookie Odds

Annamix

13.00

Apples Shakira

17.00

Mengli Khan

17.00

Samcro

17.00

Debuchet

21.00

Pym

21.00

Red Jack

21.00

Sharjah

21.00

Bullionaire

26.00

Cap Soleil

26.00

Claimantakinforgan

26.00

Francin

26.00

Getabird

26.00

If The Cap Fits

26.00

Le Richebourg

26.00

Makitorix

26.00

Mystic Theatre

26.00

Next Destination

26.00

Sayar

26.00

Western Ryder

26.00

Antey

34.00

Articulum

34.00

Bakmaj

34.00

Carter Mckay

34.00

Clinton Hill

34.00

Cracking Smart

34.00

Dalko Moriviere

34.00

Dame De Compagnie

34.00

Delirant

34.00

Delta Work

34.00

Dostal Phil

34.00

Early Doors

34.00

Epicuris

34.00

Flemenshill

34.00

Harrie

34.00

Ok Corral

34.00

Palmers Hill

34.00

Real Steel

34.00

Salsaretta

34.00

Slate House

34.00

Twobeelucky

34.00

Vengeful

34.00

Vision Des Flos

34.00

Winter Soldier

34.00

Ainsi Va La Vie

41.00

Battleoverdoyen

41.00

Big Country

41.00

Captain Woodie

41.00

Chef Des Obeaux

41.00

Dortmund Park

41.00

Kalashnikov

41.00

Mr Lingo

41.00

Neptune

41.00

Paloma Blue

41.00

Sam Brown

41.00

Senewalk

41.00

Bhutan

51.00

Black Op

51.00

Blow By Blow

51.00

Cause Toujours

51.00

Daly Tiger

51.00

Dans Le Vent

51.00

Desiremoi Dauthie

51.00

Didero Vallis

51.00

Dinons

51.00

Du Destin

51.00

Fulham Road

51.00

Irish Prophecy

51.00

Lad Of Luck

51.00

Lalor

51.00

Last Minute Man

51.00

Mr Whipped

51.00

Poetic Rhythm

51.00

Ravenhill Road

51.00

Roaring Bull

51.00

Sunshade

51.00

Theclockisticking

51.00

Amoola Gold

67.00

Canardier

67.00

Champ

67.00

Dessinateur

67.00

Kesselring

67.00

Knockmaole Boy

67.00

Masseys Wood

67.00

Simply The Betts

67.00

Warthog

81.00

Captain Mcgarry

101.00

Cohesion

101.00

Law Girl

101.00

Supreme Novices Hurdle Preview

The opening race of the Festival is a 2m1/2 furlong hurdle race on the old course. The race is restricted to novices and often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival in future years.

Above you can see the list of runners for the 2017 Supreme Novices Hurdle.

Below we highlight some ways to find winners on this race, looking at trends and discussing the form to help you to find the winner of the 2017 Supreme Novices hurdle.

Cheltenham 2013, Supreme Novices

Champagne Fever leads the field in the 2013 Supreme Novices

Supreme Novices Trends

15/15were aged between 5yo-8yo, since 2009 they have all been aged between 5yo-6yo
15/15were foaled between the months of March & May (0-75 the others)
15/15did not run in a Class 4 race last time out, 0-66 those who did
15/15had made 2-6 starts that season (0-85 the rest)
15/15had had 3+ career wins (0-80 those less)
15/15had previously won over the trip (0-53 those who hadn’t)


Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends Analysis

Huge shocks are quite rare in this race with only the 40/1 Ebaziyan in 2007 apparently unfancied and he was trained by Willie Mullins so perhaps shouldn't have been such a big price!

The last 9 winners all went off no bigger than 12/1.

Of those who held an OR at the time of the race, no winner was rated lower than 136, those rated lower are 0-68.

Since 2005 every winner returned an SP of no bigger than 9/4 on its most recent previous run.

Concentrate on five and six-year-olds as they have won all bar six of the renewals of this event since 1972! The only recent exceptions to the age trend have both been owned by JP McManus so if your fancy is seven or older but owned by JP it might still be worth considering.

OLBG blogger Robmull found 4/1 winner Altior last year. Check out his his Supreme Novices hurdle blog for 2017.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Last Ten Winners

The table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price). Trainer Willie Mullins, owner Rich Ricci and jockey Ruby Walsh have combined to win three of the last four runnings of this race.

YearHorseAgeTrainerJockeyPrice
2017Labaik6yoG ElliottJ Kennedy25/1
2016Alitor6yoN HendersonN de Boinville4/1
2015Douvan5yoW MullinsR Walsh2/1F
2014Vautour5yoW MullinsR Walsh7/2JF
2013Champagne Fever6yoW MullinsR Walsh 5/1
2012Cinders And Ashes5yoD McCainJ Maguire10/1
2011Al Ferof5yoP NichollsR Walsh10/1
2010Menorah5yoP HobbsR Johnson12/1
2009Go Native6yoN MeadeP Carberry12/1
2008Captain Cee Bee7yoE HartyR Thornton17/2


Supreme Novices Top Trainers

Two trainers have dominated the Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last ten years; Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson. Mullins has won the race an amazing four times in those ten years as well as winning the race way back in 1995.

Last year's win for Altior broke a frustrating run for Nicky Henderson who has had nine of his horses placed in the last ten years without taking the major prize. Henderson had previously won the race with River Ceiriog in 1986 and Flown in 1992.

Below is a table of how Mullins, Henderson and some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:

TrainerRunnersWinsPlacesWin LSPEach Way LSP
W Mullins224232.5015.93
N Henderson1919-14.00-2.25
P Nicholls9112.00-0.31
P Hobbs7116.004.50


Altior

2016 Supreme Novices winner Altior

Supreme Novice Hurdle Tips from The OLBG Forum

OLBG tipster Gman84 thinks that Betfair Hurdle winner BALLYANDY still offers good value for the Supreme Novices:

So Ballyandy wins the Betfair Hurdle pretty well and NTD seems keen to head to the Supreme. Plenty of comments on social media of how Ballyandy's win franks the form for Moon Racer (now runs in the Champion Hurdle) however I'm not going to get carried away with the fact Moon Racer got the better in their head to heads so far because in small fields I think Ballyandy struggles whereas Newbury's big field really suited him. They usually go like he clappers in the Supreme so that suits Ballyandy and how I think he'd like the race ran.

Join in the Supreme Novice Hurdle discussion with OLBG members on the forum.

The second race on Day 1 is the Arkle Novice Chase. Check out the tips and race preview for that race here.