Supreme Novices Hurdle PreviewThe opening race of the Festival is a 2m1/2 furlong sprint over hurdles on the old course. The race is restricted to novices.
Above you can see the list of runners for the 2017 Supreme Novices Hurdle.
Below we highlight some ways to find winners on this race, looking at trends and discussing the form to help you to find the winner of the 2017 Supreme Novices hurdle.
A two mile race for novice hurdlers which often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival in future years.
Champagne Fever leads the field in the 2013 Supreme Novices
Supreme Novices Hurdle TrendsHuge shocks are quite rare in this race with only the 40/1 Ebaziyan in 2007 apparently unfancied and he was trained by Willie Mullins so perhaps shouldn't have been such a big price! There have been 5 double figure winners in the last 10 years but at 10/1 - 12/1 they would have been within the first few runners in the betting. Concentrate on five and six-year-olds as they have won all bar six of the renewals of this event since 1972! The only recent exceptions to the age trend have both been owned by JP McManus so if your fancy is seven or older but owned by JP it might still be worth considering.
|9/10||had won at least 2 races that season|
|9/10||were aged 5 or 6|
|8/10||won on their last start|
|8/10||won last time out|
|8/9||(1 winner had no rating) were rated 142 or higher|
|7/10||had 3 or 4 runs that season (Since 1st November)|
|7/10||had their last run in February|
Several OLBG Members carried out exgtensive research into stats concerning the Supreme Novice for last season. Billstraighten produced some excellent research on this forum thread, covering some 17 years of the race and looking at the difference between actual and expected winners.
Market Man wrote a blog which highlights some other trends here and we are always grateful to our stats blogger Micko70 whose trends we have used to form the above table.
OLBG blogger Robmull found 4/1 winner Altior last year Check out his his Supreme Novices hurdle blog from last year here.
As we get nearer the 2017 race we will be adding more blogs to this page.
Supreme Novices Hurdle Last Ten WinnersTable below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price). Trainer Willie Mullins, owner Rich Ricci and jockey Ruby Walsh have combined to win three of the last four runnings of this race.
|2016||Alitor||6yo||N Henderson||N de Boinville||4/1|
|2015||Douvan||5yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||2/1F|
|2014||Vautour||5yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||7/2JF|
|2013||Champagne Fever||6yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||5/1|
|2012||Cinders And Ashes||5yo||D McCain||J Maguire||10/1|
|2011||Al Ferof||5yo||P Nicholls||R Walsh||10/1|
|2010||Menorah||5yo||P Hobbs||R Johnson||12/1|
|2009||Go Native||6yo||N Meade||P Carberry||12/1|
|2008||Captain Cee Bee||7yo||E Harty||R Thornton||17/2|
|2007||Ebaziyan||6yo||W Mullins||D Condon||40/1|
Supreme Novices Top TrainersTwo trainers have dominated the Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last ten years; Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson. Mullins has won the race an amazing four times in those ten years as well as winning the race way back in 1995.
Last year's win for Altior broke a frustrating run for Nicky Henderson who has had nine of his horses placed in the last ten years without taking the major prize. Henderson had previously won the race with River Ceiriog in 1986 and Flown in 1992.
Below is a table of how Mullins, Henderson and some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
Supreme Novices Video PreviewSam and Steve from the OLBG Social Team produced this video preview for the Supreme Novices Hurdle last year. A similar preview for 2017 will be available closer to the race.
Supreme Novice Hurdle Tips from The OLBG ForumAs we get nearer the race we will be adding expert comments to this page from the OLBG forum
2016 Supreme Novices winner Altior
Join in the Supreme Novice Hurdle discussion with OLBG members on the forum.