Supreme Novices Hurdle Tips and Betting

Selection Bookie Odds

Fayonagh

13.00

Debuchet

17.00

Pym

17.00

Bullionaire

21.00

Daphne Du Clos

21.00

Flemenshill

21.00

Getabird

21.00

Samcro

21.00

Annamix

26.00

Blow By Blow

26.00

Red Jack

26.00

Senewalk

26.00

Cap Soleil

29.00

Antey

34.00

Black Op

34.00

Captain Woodie

34.00

Carter Mckay

34.00

Fulham Road

34.00

Glorious Legend

34.00

Irish Prophecy

34.00

Lac Kivu

34.00

Next Destination

34.00

Not That Fuisse

34.00

Ok Corral

34.00

Robbinhannon

34.00

Warthog

34.00

Winter Soldier

34.00

Big Country

41.00

Canardier

51.00

Mister Universum

51.00

Supreme Novices Hurdle Preview

The opening race of the Festival is a 2m1/2 furlong hurdle race on the old course. The race is restricted to novices and often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival in future years.

Above you can see the list of runners for the 2017 Supreme Novices Hurdle.

Below we highlight some ways to find winners on this race, looking at trends and discussing the form to help you to find the winner of the 2017 Supreme Novices hurdle.

Cheltenham 2013, Supreme Novices

Champagne Fever leads the field in the 2013 Supreme Novices

Supreme Novices Trends

15/15were aged between 5yo-8yo, since 2009 they have all been aged between 5yo-6yo
15/15were foaled between the months of March & May (0-75 the others)
15/15did not run in a Class 4 race last time out, 0-66 those who did
15/15had made 2-6 starts that season (0-85 the rest)
15/15had had 3+ career wins (0-80 those less)
15/15had previously won over the trip (0-53 those who hadn’t)


Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends Analysis

Huge shocks are quite rare in this race with only the 40/1 Ebaziyan in 2007 apparently unfancied and he was trained by Willie Mullins so perhaps shouldn't have been such a big price!

The last 9 winners all went off no bigger than 12/1.

Of those who held an OR at the time of the race, no winner was rated lower than 136, those rated lower are 0-68.

Since 2005 every winner returned an SP of no bigger than 9/4 on its most recent previous run.

Concentrate on five and six-year-olds as they have won all bar six of the renewals of this event since 1972! The only recent exceptions to the age trend have both been owned by JP McManus so if your fancy is seven or older but owned by JP it might still be worth considering.

OLBG blogger Robmull found 4/1 winner Altior last year. Check out his his Supreme Novices hurdle blog for 2017.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Last Ten Winners

The table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price). Trainer Willie Mullins, owner Rich Ricci and jockey Ruby Walsh have combined to win three of the last four runnings of this race.

YearHorseAgeTrainerJockeyPrice
2017Labaik6yoG ElliottJ Kennedy25/1
2016Alitor6yoN HendersonN de Boinville4/1
2015Douvan5yoW MullinsR Walsh2/1F
2014Vautour5yoW MullinsR Walsh7/2JF
2013Champagne Fever6yoW MullinsR Walsh 5/1
2012Cinders And Ashes5yoD McCainJ Maguire10/1
2011Al Ferof5yoP NichollsR Walsh10/1
2010Menorah5yoP HobbsR Johnson12/1
2009Go Native6yoN MeadeP Carberry12/1
2008Captain Cee Bee7yoE HartyR Thornton17/2


Supreme Novices Top Trainers

Two trainers have dominated the Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last ten years; Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson. Mullins has won the race an amazing four times in those ten years as well as winning the race way back in 1995.

Last year's win for Altior broke a frustrating run for Nicky Henderson who has had nine of his horses placed in the last ten years without taking the major prize. Henderson had previously won the race with River Ceiriog in 1986 and Flown in 1992.

Below is a table of how Mullins, Henderson and some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:

TrainerRunnersWinsPlacesWin LSPEach Way LSP
W Mullins224232.5015.93
N Henderson1919-14.00-2.25
P Nicholls9112.00-0.31
P Hobbs7116.004.50


Altior

2016 Supreme Novices winner Altior

Supreme Novice Hurdle Tips from The OLBG Forum

OLBG tipster Gman84 thinks that Betfair Hurdle winner BALLYANDY still offers good value for the Supreme Novices:

So Ballyandy wins the Betfair Hurdle pretty well and NTD seems keen to head to the Supreme. Plenty of comments on social media of how Ballyandy's win franks the form for Moon Racer (now runs in the Champion Hurdle) however I'm not going to get carried away with the fact Moon Racer got the better in their head to heads so far because in small fields I think Ballyandy struggles whereas Newbury's big field really suited him. They usually go like he clappers in the Supreme so that suits Ballyandy and how I think he'd like the race ran.

Join in the Supreme Novice Hurdle discussion with OLBG members on the forum.

The second race on Day 1 is the Arkle Novice Chase. Check out the tips and race preview for that race here.