The opening race of the Festival is a 2m1/2 furlong hurdle race on the old course. The race is restricted to novices and often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival in future years.
Above you can see the list of runners for the 2018 Supreme Novices Hurdle.
Below we highlight some ways to find winners on this race, looking at trends and discussing the form to help you to find the winner of the 2018 Supreme Novices hurdle.
Champagne Fever leads the field in the 2013 Supreme Novices
Supreme Novices Hurdle Last Ten Winners
The table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2017||Labaik||6yo||G Elliott||J Kennedy||25/1|
|2016||Alitor||6yo||N Henderson||N de Boinville||4/1|
|2015||Douvan||5yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||2/1F|
|2014||Vautour||5yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||7/2JF|
|2013||Champagne Fever||6yo||W Mullins||R Walsh
|2012||Cinders And Ashes||5yo||D McCain||J Maguire||10/1|
|2011||Al Ferof||5yo||P Nicholls||R Walsh||10/1|
|2010||Menorah||5yo||P Hobbs||R Johnson||12/1|
|2009||Go Native||6yo||N Meade||P Carberry||12/1|
|2008||Captain Cee Bee||7yo||E Harty||R Thornton||17/2|
It is worth paying close attention to the winner of this race for future reference as recent winners Altior (Arkle Chase), Douvan (Arkle Chase) and Vautour (JLT Chase) all went on to win at the festival the following season and Champagne Fever was beaten a head in the Arkle Chase.
Trainer Willie Mullins, owner Rich Ricci and jockey Ruby Walsh have combined to win three of the last five renewals.
Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends
|16 / 16||Were foaled between March & May (0-77 the others)|
|16 / 16||Had run 2-7 times that season|
|16 / 16||Had previously won over hurdles|
|15 / 16||Had previously won 2-4 times over hurdles|
|15 / 16||Had previously won at least a Class 3 race|
|15 / 16||Were sent off no bigger than 25/1|
|15 / 16||Ran in a field of no more than 12 runners last time out|
|15 / 16||Had previously ran over the distance or further at least 4 times|
|15 / 16||First in the first three last time out|
|15 / 16||Had previously contested at least a Class 2 race|
|14 / 15||Were aged either 5yo or 6yo|
Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends Analysis
Since 2002, all 16 winners had ran at least twice that season and had won previously over hurdles.
9 of the last 10 winners
were sent off no bigger than 12/1 with the exception being Labaik in 2017 who was priced 25/1.
Of those who held an Official Rating(OR) at the time of the race, no winner was rated lower than 136, those rated lower are 0-71.
Since 2005 every winner bar Labaik (2017) returned an SP of no bigger than 9/4 on its most recent previous run.
Concentrate on five and six-year-olds
as they have won all bar six of the renewals of this event since 1972! The only recent exceptions to the age trend have both been owned by JP McManus so if your fancy is seven or older but owned by JP it might still be worth considering.
Supreme Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics
Two trainers have dominated the Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last ten years; Willie Mullins
and Nicky Henderson
. Mullins has won the race an amazing three times in those ten years as well as winning the race way back in 1995.
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2016 with Altior and has had a total of ten of his horses placed in the last ten years. Henderson had previously won the race with River Ceiriog in 1986 and Flown in 1992.
Below is a table of how Mullins, Henderson and some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:
2016 Supreme Novices winner Altior
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places (Inc Wins)||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
|W P Mullins||25||3||6||-11.50||-12.81|
|Edward P Harty||1||1||1||8.50||5.10|
Supreme Novice Hurdle Tips from The OLBG Forum
We will be adding a tip for this race from the OLBG forum as we get closer to the race
Join in the Supreme Novice Hurdle discussion
with OLBG members on the forum.
The second race on Day 1 is the Arkle Novice Chase
. Check out the tips and race preview for that race here.