Ryanair Chase PreviewThe Ryanair Chase made its debut at the Cheltenham festival in 2005 and was upgraded to Grade One status in 2008. Run over 2m5f The Ryanair Chase is seen as an easier alternative to the Gold Cup but has usually attracted high quality fields. It can produce future Gold Cup winners - in 2009 Imperial Commander won the Ryanair Chase and that horse followed up in the Gold Cup 12 months later. 2013 Ryanair Chase winner, Cue Card, is one of the favourites for the 2016 Cheltenham Gold Cup.
Ryanair Chase TrendsAs with pretty much every Grade 1 race, there is a minimum quality threshold for a potential winner and for this race it seems that you need to be rated at least 152 by the official handicapper to stand a chance of winning. Another important stat that stands out is this race tends to go to a horse that hasn't had a busy campaign, the last 10 winners had all run no more than 4 times since October that season.
It is also a big help if a horse has previous winning form at Cheltenham, has a decent amount of experience over fences (at least 7 runs), had won over the distance and is well fancied for the race (in the first 3 in the betting).
|10/10||had no more than four runs since October|
|10/10||had an official rating of at least 152|
|9/10||had previous winning form at Cheltenham|
|9/10||came from the first three in the betting market|
|9/10||had winning form at 2m 5f or above|
|9/10||had at least seven races over fences|
|8/10||started first or second favourite||7/10||had a top three finish last time out|
Ryanair Chase AnalysisAs with many of the races at the Cheltenham Festival course winning form looks to be advisable with only 2012 winner Riverside Theatre not having previously scored at the course. With the trend being so strong for the top 3 in the market doing so well in the race, if you find that one of the favourites hasn't already won at Cheltenham then you could be looking at a very small shortlist for potential winners.
Ryanair Chase Last Ten WinnersTable below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2016||Vautour||7-11-10||W Mullins||R Walsh||EvsF|
|2015||Uxizandre||7-11-10||A King||AP McCoy||16/1|
|2014||Dynaste||8-11-10||D Pipe||T Scudamore||3/1F|
|2013||Cue Card||7-11-10||C Tizzard||J Tizzard||7/2|
|2012||Riverside Theatre||8-11-10||N Henderson||B Geraghty||7/2F|
|2011||Albertas Run||10-11-10||JJ ONeill||AP McCoy||6/1|
|2010||Albertas Run||9-11-10||JJ ONeill||AP McCoy||14/1|
|2009||Imperial Commander||8-11-10||N Twiston-Davies||P Brennan||6/1|
|2008||Our Vic||10-11-10||D Pipe||T Murphy||4/1|
|2007||Taranis||6-11-0||P Nicholls||R Walsh||9/2|
Ryanair Chase PreviewSince this race became a Grade One in 2009 six of the seven winners had run in the previous King GeorgeVI Chase. No Irish horse has won the race Only two winners have started at a bigger price than 6/1 The last six winners have all had an official rating of 161 or higher
Ryanair Chase Video PreviewThe OLBG Social Team have produced this video preview for the Ryanair Chase.
Ryanair Chase Tips from the OLBG ForumAs a Grade 1 race this has attracted plenty of interest and tips on the relevant OLBG forum thread and one horse that has been tipped at a nice each way price is Village Vic. OLBG member Derbz87 had this to say on his chances:
"I've plumped for Village Vic in this purely because he's improved no end this season over the trip and more importantly loves the course. Dicky Johnson champion jockey on board, too many negatives about a lot of the horses near the top and potential - Road to riches might go Gold Cup, Valseur Lido classy horse but two no finishes in a row, Josses Hill can't jump, Smashing wants softer ground, Vibrato Voltat might not like the step up, Dynaste's past it.... the only one I can say fair enough to is Al Ferof and he's too short now."
With doubts over many of the leading contenders even turning up in the lead up to this race nellberg1 looke for a bit of value in one he thought is definitely going to run in this and it has duly shortened in price:
"I think the top 3 in the market will go for the GC so I've had a little bit ew on Valseur Lido at 10/1. He has some decent Grade 1 form tied in with Apache Stronghold, who I rate quite highly. In addition to those races, he's been placed in a few grade 1's behind Mullins hotpots. He was beaten a long way by Faugheen over hurdles and Vautour and Djakadam over fences in Grade 1's, but there could be nothing of that quality in the race here. He's shown with 2 Grade 1 novice chase wins that he's a decent animal, and if the top 3 in the betting don't show he'd be 2nd favourite behind Al Ferof and still be open to some improvement. He'd need to eke out some more improvement to win it but this could be a renewal that lacks a real superstar."
Meanwhile anyone who fancies Road To Riches might want to check out what Leicester Bigot has to say about the horse:
"I can't have Road To Riches wherever he runs. He ran like a car with three flat tyres last time and Valseur Lido was cantering all over him when he fell. Road To Riches was a warm order that day but would have been a distant 3rd at best and he was dismal in my opinion. Noel Meade is 1/16 at Cheltenham and 1/22 in the UK on the ATR statistics, so he's hasn't got an encouraging strike rate."