A grade one chase over three miles 110 yards this is the Gold Cup for novice chasers and plenty of future stars will make the line up.
RSA Chase Trends
|15/15||were aged between 5yo-8yo (12 were 7yo)|
|15/15||were no more than 2 years older than the youngest in the race |
|15/15||were off a 24-72 day break |
|15/15||had ran 3-7 times in the past year recording 1-4 wins|
|15/15||were sent off no bigger than 8/1 last time out and finished in the first 3|
|14/15||ran over at least 2m5f last time out in a field of 3-8 runners (2004 exception) |
OLBG blogger Robmull has narrowed the field down in his analysis of the main trends. Robmull's blog on the RSA trends can be found here.
RSA Chase Analysis
OFaolains Boy is the only horse in the last ten winners to have been pulled up in their prep races
for the RSA.
Surprisingly only Blaklion and Weapons Amnesty of the last ten winners had fallen in their novice chase seasons
before winning the RSA.
No winner in the last ten years had recorded a finish worse than fourth in their prep races
when completing the course.
The mighty Denman and 2015 winner Don Poli are the only winners in the last ten years to enter the RSA unbeaten over fences
Nine of the last ten previous winners had raced between three and five times over fences
in their winning season before contesting the RSA.
Since 2008 the winner held an OR of 143+
The last 10 winners had all previously won a Class 1 race and ran in a Grade 1 race
RSA Chase Last Ten Winners
The table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2017||Might Bite||8yo||N Henderson||R Walsh||7/2F|
|2016||Blaklion||7yo||N Twiston-Davies||R Hatch||8/1|
|2015||Don Poli||6yo||W Mullins||B Cooper||13/8F|
|2014||OFaolains Boy||7yo||R Curtis||B Geraghty||12/1|
|2013||Lord Windermere||7yo||J Culloty||D Russell||8/1|
|2012||Bobs Worth||7yo||N Henderson||B Geraghty||9/2|
|2011||Bostons Angel||7yo||Mrs J Harrington||R M Power||16/1|
|2010||Weapons Amnesty||7yo||C Byrnes||D Russell||10/1|
|2009||Cooldine||7yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||9/4F|
|2008||Albertas Run||7yo||JJ ONeill||AP McCoy||4/1F|
RSA Chase Top Trainers
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
|N Twiston Davies||5||1||1||4.00||4.63|
As with so many of the races at the Cheltenham Festival the runners of Willie Mullins
and Nicky Henderson
require the closest inspection in the RSA Chase.
Mullins has hit the frame at least with 33% of his runners over the last ten years and 50% of Henderson's horses have won or been placed since 2007.
's runners have been the surprise package in recent RSA chases with a win and a place from just four runners
Surprisingly Jonjo ONeill
has had only two runners in the RSA since 2007. Albertas Run won the race in 2008 and More Of That was third last year.
RSA Chase Tips from The OLBG Forum
OLBG member attitude adjuster
likes the chances of a runner from the Grand National winning trainer, Mouse Morris' yard:
It has to be last seasons stayers hurdle runner up for me here in Alpha Des Obeaux, he handled the track last season and if anywhere near his best form he will beat this field in my opinion. He will have been prepared with just this target in mind all season as Mouse tends to target this festival and has a great record with his horses here. He will love the better ground and is a strong stayer as we saw last season.
See the latest news on the RSA Novice Chase here via the OLBG forum.
Next on Day 2 is the fiercely competitive Coral Cup
where Gordon Elliott is trying to win the race for the third time in the last seven years. Check out the tips and race preview for that race here.