JLT Novices Chase Tips and Betting

JLT Novices Chase Preview

The JLT Novices Chase is a championship race for novices over a distance of 2 and a half miles on the new course. The race was first run in 2011 and the most successful trainer in the short history of this race is Willie Mullins with two winners (2012 and 2015).

JLT Novices Chase Winners

Table below shows the previous winners of this race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price)
2016Black Hercules7yoW MullinsR Walsh4/1CF
2015Vautour6yoW MullinsR Walsh6/4F
2014Taquin Du Seuil7yoJJ O'NeillAP McCoy7/1
2013Benefficient7yoA J MartinB Cooper20/1
2012Sir Des Champs6yoW MullinsD Russell3/1
2011Noble Prince7yoP NolanAP McCoy4/1

JLT Novices Chase Analysis

The introduction of this Championship Novice Chase at two and half miles has muddied the waters even further for ante-post punters but keeping an eye on the comments from the trainers concerned could help to narrow down a shortlist of horses who will have this race as their Festival target. Finding a horse who definitely be heading to this race could ensure a healthy ante-post position as many of the favourites could end up heading to other races at the Festival.

JLT Novices Chase Trends

The JLT Novices Chase is one of the newest formed races at the Cheltenham and as such the trends from past runnings are not quite as conclusive as they are for the more established races at the Festival. However we can already draw some pretty strong conclusions from the limited evidence we have. It looks like you want to be backing a 6 or 7 year old, rated 146 or higher who has run this year and finished in the first 2 on the latest run. That might not leave you with the smallest short list but it should help narrow down the selection process.

5/5were aged 6 or 7
5/5 were rated 146 or higher
5/5finished 1st or 2nd on their last completed start
5/5had their last run in January
4/5had 3 or 4 runs since November 1st
4/5had won at least 2 races since November 1st

JLT Novices Chase Tips from OLBG Members on the Forum

Heading into the race Tell Us More looks to be a big priced contender and another at a big price that has been touted on the forum is Garde Le Victoire by OLBG member slimey:

"I'm also in the Garde la Victoire camp. Got 20s only a couple weeks ago as it looked likely on Oddschecker/Betfair that he would race in this. He loves Cheltenham, has the best jockey onboard and he has possibly the best form out of these. Seems the JLT is a second choice of others which is a good sign too."

Since then Garde Le Victoire has shortened dramatically to less than half that price!

There has been plenty more discussion on this race on the OLBG forum thread for the JLT Novices Chase.