Grand Annual Chase PreviewA handicap chase over 2m 110 yards which was moved to become the last race of the Festival from 2010.
Grand Annual Chase Trends
|9/10||carried 11-02 or less|
|9/10||had their last run that year|
|9/10||had run at least 3 times since November 1st|
|8/10||were aged between 7 & 9|
|8/10||were rated 132 or higher|
|8/10||came here without a win since November 1st|
Micko has written a trends blog on this race which at the time of writing identifies 8 runners who meet all the trends. Not all will be lucky to make the line up but when the final runners are known, be sure to check out the blog here.
Grand Annual Chase Trends AnalysisSimilarly to most of the other handicaps at the Festival, we should be looking for a low weighted runner towards the head of the market.
Runners rated 129-134 had a remarkable run in this race winning eight recent renewals but this trend may be changing as the last four winners all had a higher rating. It would seem classier horses are starting to go for the Grand Annual and it is unlikely any rated that low will even run this year.
Novices have a good record in this race - four recent winners of this race, Alderwood, Bellvano, Oh Crick and Pigeon Island, were all in their novice season. However, as the class of the field has increased this may make it harder for novices.
As stated often on this site, previous Festival form is a big plus point with seven recent winners having run at the Festival before at least once.
Grand Annual Last Ten WinnersTable below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age and weight at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2016||Solar Impulse||6-11-0||P Nicholls||S Twiston Davies||12/1|
|2015||Next Sensation||8-11-2||M Scudamore||T Scudamore||16/1|
|2014||Savello||8-11-5||AJ Martin||D Russell||16/1|
|2013||Alderwood||9-10-11||T Mullins||AP McCoy||3/1F|
|2012||Bellvano||8-10-2||N Henderson||P Carberry||20/1|
|2011||Oiseau De Nuit||9-10-13||C Tizzard||S Clements||40/1|
|2010||Pigeon Island||7-10-1||N Twiston-Davies||P Brennan||16/1|
|2009||Oh Crick||6-10-0||A King||W Hutchinson||7/1|
|2008||Tiger Cry||10-10-6||A Moore||D Russell||15/2|
|2007||Andreas||7-10-11||P Nicholls||R Thornton||12/1|
Grand Annual Preview and TipsSince the race was named after his father in 2005, Nicky Henderson has had two winners at 20/1 and placed horses at 16/1, 10/1, 3/1, 10/1, 10/1, 9/1, 33/1 and 12/1.
This will always be a race that the Henderson stable will focus on and their runners will always require close attention when making your bets but just be aware that Hendersons keenness to win this race is well documented and there is a chance his horses have become increasingly overbacked.