The Fred Winter Hurdle is a handicap race for four-year-old novice hurdlers run over 2m 110 yards where trainers can try and take advantage with a well handicapped horse. Can you spot the blot on the handicap?
Fred Winter Juvenile Novices Handicap Hurdle Last Ten Winners
Table below shows the last ten winners of the race.
|2017||Flying Tiger||11-5||N Williams||R Johnson||9/2JF|
|2016||Diego Du Charmil||11-1||P Nicholls||S Twiston-Davies||13/2|
|2015||Qualando||11-0||P Nicholls||N Scholfield||25/1|
|2014||Hawk High||11-1||T Easterby||B Hughes||33/1|
|2013||Flaxen Flare||10-7||G Elliott||D Condon||25/1|
|2012||Une Artiste||10-8||N Henderson||J McGrath||40/1|
|2011||What A Charm||10-6||A Moore||P Townend||9/1|
|2010||Sanctuaire||11-9||P Nicholls||R Walsh||4/1F|
|2009||Silk Affair||10-4||M Quinlan||T OBrien||11/1|
|2008||Crack Away Jack||11-10||Miss E Lavelle||P Carberry||14/1|
Fred Winter Juvenile Novices Handicap Hurdle Trends
|13 / 13||Had not made between 8 & 11 career starts (0-102 those who had)|
|13 / 13||Had not recorded 2 wins that season (0-91 those who had)|
|13 / 13||Were sent off no bigger than 40/1|
|13 / 13||Were either winless or had won at least a Class 4|
|13 / 13||Did not make their debut on the All Weather|
|12 / 13||Held an official rating of between 124 & 134|
|12 / 13||Had ran within the past 37 days|
|12 / 13||Were either Irish or French bred runners|
|12 / 13||Carried no more than 159lbs (11-5)|
|11 / 13||Had previously only been ridden by the jockey once or not at all|
Fred Winter Juvenile Novices Handicap Hurdle Trends Analysis
Those runners who have started life on the flat have tended to have achieved a decent rating on the level with all of the winners who fit that criterion having achieved a mark of 79 or above.
Fillies also have a great record in this race
winning four of the thirteen renewals from a very small percentage of the overall number of runners.
Four of the last six winners have returned an SP of 25/1 or bigger, although the previous two winners have been well fancied.
The general call for this race is we should be looking for an unexposed juvenile that is coming into the race on the back of a win or an eye-catching run and has recorded no more than two previous hurdle wins.
Fred Winter Juvenile Novices Handicap Hurdle Trainer Statistics
Below is a table of how some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:
Paul Nicholls has a phenomenal record in this race
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places (Inc Wins)||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
|A L T Moore||1||1||1||9.00||5.63|
and provided the winner and second placed horse in 2015 and 2016. The champion trainer has sent out three winners and six other placed horse from from 17 runners over the last ten seasons. A superb achievement.
and Nick Williams
have also done well with their runners in this race but shocks are frequent in this race with smaller yards responsible for a number of wins.
Two trainers who have a surprisingly poor record in this race are Willie Mullins and Philip Hobbs.
Fred Winter Juvenile Novices Handicap Hurdle Tips from The OLBG Forum
We will be adding a tip for this race from the OLBG Forum when we get nearer to the Cheltenham Festival.
See the latest news on the Fred Winter Hurdle here via the OLBG forum.
The final race on Day 2 will be the Champion Bumper Check out the tips and race preview for that race here.