A handicap chase over 2m 4.5 furlongs on the new course. Formerly known as the Mildmay of Flete for many years and is a race where the Martin/David Pipe
yard has an exceptional record, scoring seven victories between 1997 and 2014.
It is also worth noting that Venetia Williams
has had three wins since 2007 so they are two trainers to very much note in this race.
Festival Plate Last Ten Winners
Table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age and weight at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2017||Road To Respect||6-10-13||N Meade||B Cooper||14/1|
|2016||Empire Of Dirt||9-10-11||CA Murphy||BJ Cooper||16/1|
|2015||Darna||9-10-11||K Bailey||D Bass||33/1|
|2014||Ballynagour||8-10-9||D Pipe||T Scudamore||12/1|
|2013||Carrickboy||9-10-5||Miss V Williams||L Treadwell||50/1|
|2012||Salut Flo||7-10-10||D Pipe||T Scudamore||9/2F|
|2011||Holmwood Legend||10-10-6||P Rodford||K Burke||25/1|
|2010||Great Endeavour||6-10-1||D Pipe||D Cook||18/1|
|2009||Something Wells||8-10-7||Miss V Williams||Mr W Biddick||33/1|
|2008||Mister McGoldrick||11-11-7||Mrs S Smith||D Elsworth||66/1|
Festival Plate Trends
Cheltenham Festival handicap trends are always worth taking notice of and this race is no exception.
|16 / 16||Had placed no more than 11 times over the distance or further|
|16 / 16||Had placed no more than twice at Cheltenham (Including wins)|
|16 / 16||Had run no more than 7 times that season|
|16 / 16||Had won no more than two races that season|
|16 / 16||Had previously ran a race in the month of March during its career|
|15 / 16||Held an official rating no more than 4lbs higher than the race average|
|15 / 16||Were sent off 12/1 or bigger|
|14 / 16||Sent off between 9/2 & 16/1 on its last start|
|14 / 16||Carried under 11 stone|
Festival Plate Trends Analysis
Yet again we see stats that throw up the need for carrying a weight in a handicap of under 11st at the Cheltenham Festival with only three of the past twenty winners having carried 11st or above.
Horses racking up a sequence of wins in the build up are perhaps best avoided as none of the last 16 winners had won more than twice that season,
so keeping under the radar of the handicapper to a certain extent.
Don't be afraid to take a chance on a bigger price selection or even split your stakes and back two in this race as the favourite has a poor record here with just two winning favourites since 1999!
Festival Plate Trainer Statistics
The table below outlines some of the top trainers record in the Festival Plate over the last ten years
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places (Inc Wins)||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
|C A Murphy||2||1||2||15.00||13.63|
As previously mentioned, two training yards have dominated this race recently with David Pipe and Venetia Williams having five wins between them in the last eleven years as well as filling a further five placings!
It makes sense to assume that a race where a trainer has had previous success at the Festival will be targeted again in the future so make note of any entries from these powerful yards.
Look out for horses who have run well at the Festival before
(or who have experienced the phenomenon) as they are usually equipped to run well there again.
With a 66/1, 50/1, two at 33/1 and a 25/1 winner in the last ten years in the Festival Plate it would seem that taking a speculative approach is the best policy to this race!
OLBG Forum Tips For The Festival Plate
We will be adding a tip for this race from the OLBG forum as we get closer to the race.
Details of more tips and discussion from the OLBG forum on this race can be found here
Next up on Day 3 is the Mares Novice Hurdle Check out the tips and race preview here.