A grade one chase run over three miles two and a half furlongs featuring the best UK and Irish trained chasers, the race has also been won by French raiders in the past. The Cheltenham Gold Cup is a true test of a chaser, key attributes required are the ability to jump fluently (those that are prone to fencing errors tend to get found out), tactical race speed as the Gold Cup is usually run at a quicker pace than other chases, stamina to see out the race distance and the uphill finish and be able to act on the undulating track at Cheltenham. The Cheltenham Gold Cup is the 'Blue-Riband' of National Hunt racing.
Gold Cup Last Ten Winners
Table below shows the last ten Gold Cup winners, their age at the time of winning their trainer, jockey and starting price betting odds.
|Year||Horse||Age||Trainer||Jockey||Price||2017||Sizing John||7yo||J Harrington||R Power||7/1|
|2016||Don Cossack||9yo||G Elliott||BJ Cooper||9/4F|
|2015||Coneygree||8yo||M Bradstock||N de Boinville||7/1|
|2014||Lord Windermere||8yo||J Culloty||D Russell||20/1|
|2013||Bobs Worth||8yo||N Henderson||B Geraghty||11/4F|
|2012||Synchronised||9yo||JJ O'Neill||AP McCoy||8/1|
|2011||Long Run||6yo||N Henderson||Mr S Waley-Cohen||7/2F|
|2010||Imperial Commander||9yo||N Twiston-Davies||P Brennan||7/1|
|2009||Kauto Star||9yo||P Nicholls||R Walsh||7/4F|
|2008||Denman||8yo||P Nicholls||S Thomas||9/4|
Gold Cup Trends
|16 / 16||Had previously won a Grade 1 race|
|16 / 16||Had a Career win strike rate of 33% or more|
|16 / 16||Were no more than 2 years older than the youngest horse in the race|
|16 / 16||Were no older than 9yo|
|16 / 16||Had previously been ridden by the jockey on 2+ occasions|
|16 / 16||Had at least a 30 day break since its last run|
|16 / 16||Were sent off no bigger than 8/1|
|16 / 16||Made their debut in either an NHF or Hurdle race|
|16 / 16||Did not run at Cheltenham last time out|
|16 / 16||Ran in a Graded race last time out|
|16 / 16||Had made 1-5 starts that season|
|13 / 16||Held an official rating of at least 166|
Should We Avoid The Veterans?
One of the regular trends for the Gold Cup each year is the seemingly poor recent record of horses aged ten and above. Cool Dawn’s 25/1 victory in 1998 was the last time a horse in that age group recorded a win.
These statistics seem to suggest that older horses are unlikely to be winning in 2018 but is that really the case?
Ten-year-old On His Own was beaten just a short-head by Lord Windermere in 2010 and Denman (twice), Kauto Star and Mon Mome were all placed in the Gold Cup when ten or older. Cue Card was ten years old when contesting the 2016 renewal and looked all set to be involved in the finish before taking a bad fall at the third last fence.
The reality of the actual numbers for horses aged ten or over in the last ten renewals are as follows:
• 33 horses aged 10 to 12 have run in the Gold Cup in the last ten years
• 0 have won
• 5 have been placed
• 12 failed to complete the course
• 16 completed the course outside of the places
• 10 were priced at 66/1 or above
• 7 were priced at 5/1 or shorter and recorded the following finishes: F, F, PU, 3, PU, 2, F
Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
Below is a table of how some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places (Inc Wins)||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
|J H Culloty||2||1||1||19.00||11.00|
|Mrs John Harrington||1||1||1||7.00||4.20|
|W P Mullins||12||0||5||-12.00||-5.60|
has become the dominant trainer at the Cheltenham Festival over the last couple of years but he has yet to win the Gold Cup despite finishing runner-up on no less than six occasions, including in three of the last four years.Paul Nicholls
is a four time winner of the Gold Cup and sent out the winner or the runner up in every year from 2007 to 2011. 2016 was the first year Nicholls did not have a runner in the Gold Cup since 2004.Nicky Henderson
has won the Gold Cup twice in the last seven years but did not have a runner in 2017.Jonjo ONeill's
runners in the Gold Cup are usually extremely well supported with five of his six runners in the last ten years going off at odds of under 10/1, he also had the 18/1 runner up in 2017.Gordon Elliott
won the Gold Cup with his first ever runner in 2016 and with his powerful connections looks sure to add to this win in the next few years.
Gold Cup Tips from Jockeys Ten Year Record
six rides where he has completed the course in the last ten years have all finished no worse than fourth.Barry Geraghty
has rewarded each-way punters just once in the last ten years when successful on Bobs Worth at 11/4 in 2013.Paddy Brennan
won on 7/1 shot Imperial Commander in 2010 and would surely have gone close again in 2016 had Cue Card not fallen at the third last fence.Davy Russell
rode the biggest priced winner of the Gold Cup since 1998 when partnering Lord Windermere to success in 2014.Bryan Cooper
has had just three rides in the Gold Cup and has rewarded each-way support twice, finishing third on Road To Riches in 2015 and winning on Don Cossack in 2016.
Amazingly Champion Jockey Richard Johnson
has had just two rides in the Gold Cup in the last ten years partnering Captain Chris into sixth in 2013 and finishing third on Native River last year.
Gold Cup Tips from The OLBG Forum
OLBG member drogerson
fancies Might Bite
to take the Gold Cup:
"I can't get away from MIGHT BITE
. He's an unbeaten (bar the fall when he was well clear), triple Grade 1 chase winner and
he's still available at 7/2. (available at the time of writing).
They went off hard again in the King George, but yet again he saw them off. I feel his reputation has been dampened somewhat by his antics in the RSA but since then he was done nothing but win. I don't think he has to lead and given what happened in the King George they may let someone else bowl along early doors before taking it up to conserve more energy.
That said, I've got very few doubts about his profile to win the race (recent RSA winners are prolific in the Gold Cup) and at 7/2 looks a standout bet."
See the latest news on the Gold Cup here via the OLBG forum.
Next on Day 4 is the Foxhunters
. Check out the tips and race preview here.