Formerly known as the Neptune Novices Hurdle and before that, the Royal and Sun Alliance Novices Hurdle this is a grade one race over 2miles 5 furlongs for novices.
Recent winners Faugheen(2014) and Yorkhill(2016) have both gone onto festival glory in subsequent seasons so worth keeping an eye on with a view to future big race winners. Faugheen won the Champion Hurdle in 2015 and Yorkhill won the JLT Novices Chase in 2017.
Ballymore Novices Hurdle Last Ten Winners
Table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2017||Willoughby Court||6yo||B Pauling||D Bass||14/1|
|2016||Yorkhill||6yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||3/1|
|2015||Windsor Park||6yo||D Weld||D Russell||9/2|
|2014||Faugheen||6yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||6/4F|
|2013||The New One||5yo||N Twiston-Davies||S Twiston-Davies||7/2|
|2012||Simonsig||6yo||N Henderson||B Geraghty||2/1F|
|2011||First Lieutenant||6yo||M Morris||D Russell||7/1|
|2010||Peddlers Cross||5yo||D McCain Jnr||J Maguire||7/1|
|2009||Mikael DHaguenet||5yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||5/2F|
|2008||Fiveforthree||6yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||7/1|
Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trends
|16 / 16||Were sent off no bigger than 20/1|
|16 / 16||Had previously been ridden by the jockey to success|
|16 / 16||Were either a 5yo or 6yo|
|16 / 16||Had a least a 25% strike rate that season|
|16 / 16||Finished in the first three last time out|
|16 / 16||Had won a hurdle race in their past three starts|
|15 / 16||Had previous won at least a class 3 race|
|15 / 16||Debut was run over at least 14f (1m6f)|
|15 / 16||Ran in a field of no more than 12 runners last time out|
|14 / 15||Ran in at least a Class 2 last time out|
Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trends Analysis
Looking at recent winners of this race, a five or six year old with recent good form and at odds of 14/1 or less is what we should be looking for. Easy!
This is a great race for trends lovers with only Massini Maguire's victory in 2007 going against the majority of the above trends.
We should be looking for a young hurdler who has already proved themselves in a good class, winning at least once in their previous three starts and finishing in the first two places last time out.
In addition to the above it is worth noting that the winner of Newbury's Challow Hurdle run in December has a very poor record in this event.
Also note that Irish trained hurdlers
have a great record in this race, winning 60% of the last ten renewals.
When looking for the winner of the Ballymore, it may pay to stay away from horses NOT making their festival debut as only two of the last ten winners had previously raced at the Festival
- this is probably as this race tends to go to later maturing novices and is in stark contrast to a number of other races in Festival week.
Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics
Below is a table of how some of the other top trainers have fared in the last ten years:
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
|W P Mullins||20||4||9||-2.00||-2.25|
|M F Morris||5||1||3||3.00||2.80|
|D K Weld||4||1||2||1.50||0.55|
The Ballymore appears to be one of Willie Mullins
favourite races at the Festival with four wins and five other placed horse in the last ten years. A remarkable record.
Also worth noting are the performances in this race of Mouse Morris
and Dermot Weld
. Both have managed to find a winner and at least one other placed horse from a small number of runners.
Ballymore Novices Hurdle Tips from The OLBG Forum
We will be adding a tip for this race from the OLBG Forum when we get nearer to the Cheltenham Festival.
See the latest news on the Ballymore Novices Hurdle here via the OLBG forum.
Next race up on Day 2 is the RSA Chase Check out the tips and race preview for that race here.