Supreme Novices Hurdle Tips and Betting





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Supreme Novices Hurdle Preview

The opening race of the Festival is a 2m1/2 furlong sprint over hurdles on the old course. The race is restricted to novices.

Above you can see the list of runners for the 2016 Supreme Novices Hurdle with an expert tip by each horse where available. The horse racing tipsters at OLBG will have different opinions on the race. Read the comment highlighted for each runner to help you to decide who to bet on. If you would like more tips for this race, head over to the OLBG Horse Racing tips page where you can read 100's of different tips on the race, see the most popular tip and check out the tipsters records in more detail.

Below we highlight other ways to find winners on this race, looking at trends and discussing the form to help you to find the winner of the 2016 Supreme Novices hurdle.

A two mile race for novice hurdlers which often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival in future years.

Cheltenham 2013, Supreme Novices

Champagne Fever leads the field in the 2013 Supreme Novices

Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends

Huge shocks are quite rare in this race with only the 40/1 Ebaziyan in 2007 apparently unfancied and he was trained by Willie Mullins so perhaps shouldn't have been such a big price! There have been 6 double figure winners in the last 10 years but at 10/1 - 12/1 they would have been within the first few runners in the betting. Concentrate on five and six-year-olds as they have won all bar six of the renewals of this event since 1972! The only recent exceptions to the age trend have both been owned by JP McManus so if your fancy is seven or older but owned by JP it might still have a chance.

9/10had won at least 2 races that season
9/10were aged 5 or 6
8/10won on their last start
8/10had their last run in February
8/10 won last time out
7/9(1 winner had no rating) were rated 142 or higher
7/10had 3 or 4 runs that season (Since 1st November)

Several OLBG Members have carried out some detailed research into stats concerning the Supreme Novice. Billstraighten produced some excellent research on this forum thread, covering some 17 years of the race and looking at the difference between actual and expected winners.

Market Man wrote a blog which highlights some other trends here and we are always grateful to our stats blogger Micko70 whose trends we have used to form the above table.

If all these different trends and stats are confusing you then Robmull may help with some clarity as only one horse meets all of his trends. Check out which runner that is in his Supreme Novice hurdle blog here.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Last Ten Winners

Table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price). Trainer Willie Mullins, owner Rich Ricci and jockey Ruby Walsh have combined to win the last three runnings of this race. They also have the red hot favourite in this years race.

2016Alitor6yoN HendersonN de Boinville4/1
2015Douvan5yoW MullinsR Walsh2/1F
2014Vautour5yoW MullinsR Walsh7/2JF
2013Champagne Fever6yoW MullinsR Walsh 5/1
2012Cinders And Ashes5yoD McCainJ Maguire10/1
2011Al Ferof5yoP NichollsR Walsh10/1
2010Menorah5yoP HobbsR Johnson12/1
2009Go Native6yoN MeadeP Carberry12/1
2008Captain Cee Bee7yoE HartyR Thornton17/2
2007Ebaziyan6yoW MullinsD Condon40/1

Supreme Novices Video Preview

Sam and Steve from the OLBG Social Team have produced this long video preview for the Supreme Novice Hurdle.

Supreme Novice Hurdle Tips from The OLBG Forum

Much of the discussion on the forum centres around the long time favourite for this race, Min but nellberg1 highlighted the confidence around the much bigger priced Tombstone

"Gigginstown seems pretty bullish with him from a long way out, said they'd be going down the Supreme route when a lot of connections would have been shying away from taking on Min. In the end they'd be better off here than taking on Yanworth! "

Gman84 agrees

"I've backed him in an ante post single and multiple. The main worry in his races is he keeps finding one too good but he's a tough horse and for the most part travels and jumps well. He's also competed a couple of races over slightly longer than 2m and knowing how the pace tends to be frantic in the Supreme having that extra touch of stamina in the tank is nice to have. I certainly think he'll be in the mix for a place.."

Brownie3 highlighted Hendersons chances in the race

"Henderson states that the Supreme is his best shot of a festival winner with the 2nd & 3rd favourite in Altior and Buvior Dair"

The below photos were taken of the yards top two Supreme Novices contenders Altior and Buveur DAir by OLBG PR rep drobgod.

AltiorBuveur D Air

Join in the Supreme Novice Hurdle discussion with OLBG members on the forum.