Cheltenham Gold Cup PreviewAt OLBG we have a wealth of horse racing betting knowledge from our 50,000 strong tipster community. You will be able to see a tip comment for each of the horses running in the 2017 Cheltenham Gold Cup as we get nearer the race. Read the comments and see which horse stands out for you. To read more tip comments on this race and other Cheltenham races head over to the main horse racing tips page.
If you would like to go into much more detail then this Gold preview highlights some of the best content from the forum and blogs within the site.
For general tips for betting at the Cheltenham festival, we have compiled a long list on the homepage of this site.
Gold Cup Ten Year TrendsOLBG Racing Trends specialist Micko70 highlighted some key stats for the 2016 Cheltenham Gold Cup. This is what he said about the last 10 winners before that race recent blog.
|9/10||were aged between 7 and 9|
|9/10||were rated 162 or higher|
|8/10||finished 1st or 2nd on their last completed start|
|6/10||had their last run before February 1st|
|9/10||had run at least 2 time since Nov 1st||8/10||has won a race since November 1st|
Should We Avoid The Veterans?One of the regular trends that come up for the Gold Cup each year is the seemingly poor recent record of horses aged ten and above. Cool Dawn’s 25/1 victory in 1998 was the last time a horse in that age group recorded a win.
These statistics seem to suggest that older horses are unlikely to be winning in 2017 but is that really the case?
Ten-year-old On His Own was beaten just a short-head by Lord Windermere in 2010 and Denman (twice), Kauto Star and Mon Mome were all placed in the Gold Cup when ten or older. Cue Card was ten years old in last year’s race but looked all set to be involved in the finish before taking a bad fall at the third last fence.
The reality of the actual numbers for horses aged ten or over in the last ten renewals are as follows:
• 34 horses aged 10 to 12 have run in the Gold Cup in the last ten years
• 0 have won
• 5 have been placed
• 11 failed to complete the course
• 18 completed the course outside of the places
• 10 were priced at 66/1 or above
• 6 were priced at 5/1 or shorter and recorded the following finishes: F, PU, 3, PU, 2, F
Three of the first seven in the early betting for the 2017 Gold Cup will be ten or older come March next year including last year’s winner Don Cossack. The Gold Cup winner from 2015, Coneygree, will also be ten if he can make it back after injury whilst King George and Betfair Chase winner Cue Card will be older still at eleven. However if Coneygree in particular can make it back to fitness he will almost certainly have had less races over fences than the majority of his younger opponents. Mark Bradstock’s chaser has had just five races over fences to date and a total of eleven races under Rules.
Trends can be a useful guide but it would surely be dangerous to dismiss any of this powerful trio simply on the fact of their age.
Gold Cup Trends Tips from MembersHere we look at some of the other trends highlighted by OLBG members.
The Gold Cup tends to see class rise to the top and this is underlined by the fact that only one of the last seventeen winners did not race in that season's King George at Kempton or Lexus Chase at Leopardstown.
Gold Cup Last Ten WinnersTable below shows the last ten Gold Cup winners, their age at the time of winning their trainer, jockey and starting price betting odds.
|2016||Don Cossack||9yo||G Elliott||BJ Cooper||9/4F|
|2015||Coneygree||8yo||M Bradstock||N de Boinville||7/1||2014||Lord Windermere||8yo||J Culloty||D Russell||20/1|
|2013||Bobs Worth||8yo||N Henderson||B Geraghty||11/4F|
|2012||Synchronised||9yo||JJ O'Neill||AP McCoy||8/1|
|2011||Long Run||6yo||N Henderson||Mr S Waley-Cohen||7/2F|
|2010||Imperial Commander||9yo||N Twiston-Davies||P Brennan||7/1|
|2009||Kauto Star||9yo||P Nicholls||R Walsh||7/4F|
|2008||Denman||8yo||P Nicholls||S Thomas||9/4|
|2007||Kauto Star||7yo||P Nicholls||R Walsh||5/4F|
Gold Cup Trainers Ten Year RecordWillie Mullins has become the dominant trainer at the Cheltenham Festival over the last couple of years but he has yet to win the Gold Cup despite finishing runner-up on no less than six occasions, including in each of the last four years.
Paul Nicholls is a four time winner of the Gold Cup and sent out the winner or the runner up in every year from 2007 to 2011. 2016 was the first year Nicholls did not have a runner in the Gold Cup since 2004.
Nicky Henderson has won the Gold Cup twice in the last six years but does not appear to have an obvious candidate for 2017.
Jonjo ONeills runners in the Gold Cup are usually extremely well supported with five of his six runners in the last ten years going off at odds of under 10/1.
Gordon Elliott won the Gold Cup with his first ever runner in 2016 and with his powerful connections looks sure to add to this win in the next few years.
|Trainer||Runners||Wins||Places||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
Gold Cup Jockeys Ten Year RecordRuby Walshs six rides where he has completed the course in the last ten years have all made the frame at least.
Barry Geraghty has rewarded each-way punters just once in the last ten years when successful on Bobs Worth at 11/4 in 2013.
Paddy Brennan won on 7/1 shot Imperial Commander in 2010 and would surely have gone close again last year had Cue Card not fallen at the third last fence.
Davy Russell rode the biggest priced winner of the Gold Cup since 1998 when partnering Lord Windermere to success in 2014.
Bryan Cooper has had just two rides in the Gold Cup but he has rewarded each-way support on both occasions finishing third on Road To Riches in 2015 and winning on Don Cossack in 2016.
Amazingly Champion Jockey Richard Johnson has had just two rides in the Gold Cup in the last ten years partnering Captain Chris into sixth in 2013 and finishing fourth on Monkerhostin in 2007.
|Jockey||Rides||Wins||Places||Win LSP||Each Way LSP|
Gold Cup Preview 2016 from OLBG Bloggers and MembersIf you would like a much more in depth race preview for the 2016 Cheltenham Gold cup then read one of our expert blogs. Several of our bloggers will be writing detailed previews form 2017. Here is the level of analysis you can expect from OLBG blogs with an example from Gman who was taking a look at the ante post market last season
The great forum discussion thread for the Cheltenham Gold Cup of 2016 can be found here. Look out for the new forum thread on the Gold Cup as we get nearer the race in 2017.
On that forum thread rightjudgeiam pointed out how important the King George form could be and why it is focusing him in on Vautour for the 2016 Gold Cup "The King George is already turning out to be exceptionally strong form with Smad Place and Valseur Lido running massive races. I've no doubt the form will continue to stand up in many future races including the Gold Cup. As I posted after the race, Vautour is clearly the one to take for the future. To do that on second start as a second season chaser and first try at the trip marks him out as a truly special horse in my opinion. The amount of improvement he has to come is frightening really. "
Last year member snuggleupwithagoodbook noted that 13 out of the last 15 winners had all had an official rating of 166 or more. Last year's winner was the highest rated horse in the field at 175.
OLBG's Cheltenham Gold Cup 2016 Video PreviewSam and Steve from our Social Media team made an early season video preview for this years Cheltenham Gold Cup. It's a detailed video preview around 25 minutes long looking at all the major contenders and highlighting OLBG member tips and thoughts. Keep a look out for something similar for next year's Gold Cup.
Best Gold Cup Tips 2016Read the tips above from OLBG members which should be avialble soon. We will list one tip comment for each of the Cheltenham Gold Cup Runners. Each of these tips are from expert tipsters at OLBG. Tipsters with the best tipping records and best quality reasoning are shown above others. So you only see the best of the best from around 50,000 members. By reading these expert opinions from tipsters who bet regularly, you will be able to see their views and reasoning as to who they think will win the race and why. After reading each comment you can then make up your own mind as to which tipster gives the best tip!
For horse racing tips on every race from all the OLBG members either install the OLBG app or head over to the main horse racing tips page.